1、 Price trend

According to the data of the business club’s block list, this week’s pure benzene showed a trend of first falling and then rising. On June 6, the price of pure benzene was 7800-8000 yuan / ton (average price 7910 yuan / ton), and on Sunday (June 13), the price of pure benzene was 7600-7750 yuan / ton (average price 7730 yuan / ton). The average price fell 180 yuan / ton, or 2.28%, compared with last week; Compared with the same period last year, it increased by 106.13%.

2、 Analysis and comment

At present, some downstream profits of pure benzene are in deficit, and the follow-up of pure benzene is weak. The rapid decline of styrene in the week dragged down the pure benzene mentality, and the price fell with it. This week, Sinopec cut the price of pure benzene by 150 yuan / ton to 7750 yuan / ton.

In terms of external market, the reference price of pure benzene in South Korea market on Friday (June 11) was 923 US dollars / ton, down 50.67 US dollars / ton, or 5.2%, compared with June 4; The import reference price of East China was 960 US dollars / ton, down 40 US dollars / ton or 4% from June 4

In terms of crude oil, the market demand outlook is optimistic, and the international oil price rises in shock. Brent rose $1.365/barrel, or 1.93%, on June 4; WTI rose $1.21 per barrel, or 1.74%.

Downstream: styrene: the price of styrene fell this week. On June 11, the price of sample enterprises was 8950 yuan / ton, down 6.77% from last week, and up 60.78% from the same period last year.

Aniline: the price of aniline froze in the early part of this week, and the price fell weakly near the weekend. On June 11, the price in Shandong was 8800-9100 yuan / ton; The price of aniline in Nanjing was 9000 yuan / ton, with an average price of 2.18% lower than last week; It increased by 13.5% over the beginning of the year and 97.79% over the same period last year.

3、 Future forecast

In terms of crude oil, the United States lifted sanctions on some individuals and entities in Iran, and Iran’s crude oil exports are expected to increase or depress oil prices. However, the recovery of demand is expected to be good as a whole, and the international oil price still has action power. In the future, we will continue to pay attention to the global epidemic situation, the latest OPEC + decisions, global economic data, US crude oil and refined oil inventory data, etc.

Downstream: styrene, the main downstream product: on the supply side, the unexpected maintenance of three units in China, namely, Anhui Jiaxi 350000 T / A, CNOOC shell phase II 700000 T / A and Hebei shengteng 80000 T / A, has disturbed the supply side. However, in view of the fact that most of the maintenance units have been restarted and new units have been put into production, the supply increment is expected to remain unchanged in June, but with the increase of domestic trade and imports to East China, The wharf will be in a state of continuous accumulation. On the downstream side, the demand of the downstream is weak, and the psychology of waiting to fall is strong. Styrene is expected to weaken in the short term.

Internationally, the recovery of crude oil is promising; The external price falls, the import arbitrage window opens, and the import volume of pure benzene is expected to increase in the later period. In China, the pure benzene units that were overhauled in the early stage have been restarted one after another, and the supply has been rising gradually; However, the short-term supply in the market is still tight. Overall, it is expected that the price of pure benzene will be sorted out next week. Continue to pay attention to the downstream market (mainly styrene inventory, demand changes), domestic and foreign pure benzene plant trends, crude oil, external market trends on the price of pure benzene.

1、 Price trend:

According to the data of the bulk list of business agencies, the domestic PA6 market was in a standstill in early June, and spot prices rose and fell. As of June 11, the main offer price of sample enterprises for Zhongwei 2.75-2.85 was about 14733.33 yuan / ton, a decrease of 1.14% compared with the average price in early May, with a year-on-year increase of 20.11%.

2、 Analysis of influencing factors:

Upstream caprolactam, domestic spot market in early June to undertake may high down market. International crude oil strength in the first ten days of this month, but the benzene external market continued to decline, and the peripheral news was empty. In addition, styrene continued to decline, dragging the center of gravity of pure benzene. At present, the atmosphere of the spot market of caprolactam is strong, and the demand of downstream enterprises has not improved, and the volume of investment is insufficient. The petrochemical plant cost pressure is increasing, the contract offer is stable, and caprolactam is expected to continue the game in the short term.

The spot market of PA6 in early June was also stable. At present, the cost end pressure of PA6 is still high, and the profit of the polymerization plant is limited. At the same time, it is also worth the traditional off-season of rubber and plastic industry. Downstream factory purchase operation is just needed to take goods, and follow up is slow. The transaction on the site is weak, and the actual delivery and investment are mostly small orders. In recent years, the inventory position of production enterprises and merchants has generally increased. The atmosphere in the field is not good, and the attitude of looking at the air is strong.

3、 Post market forecast:

Analysts of business society think: in the early June, the caprolactam market in the upper reaches of PA6 was adjusted narrowly, and the cost side of PA6 was temporarily stable. Downstream factories take goods mainly, end-user consumption is in off-season level, and the on-site delivery and investment is in short supply. The spot price of PA6 is expected to be in a standstill operation in the near future.

Trade name: dichloromethane

Latest price (June 9): 3976 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the monitoring of business news agency, the price of dichloromethane in Shandong was 3976 yuan / ton on the 9th, which was the same as the previous day. Recently, the factory price of some dichloromethane manufacturers in Shandong has been lowered. According to the monitoring of the business agency, as of June 9, dichloromethane bulk water of Shandong Luxi Chemical Co., Ltd. had been delivered in cash at 4050 yuan / ton; Shandong Jinling dichloromethane bulk water ex factory at 3940 yuan / ton, Dongying factory at 3940 yuan / ton. Recently, the overall operation rate of domestic methane chloride plant is around 70%, and the pressure of supply side is not large, which has certain support for dichloromethane.

Future forecast: the price of raw material liquid chlorine in Shandong is strong, and the cost is supported by dichloromethane; In addition to the current low inventory of methane chloride, it is expected that dichloromethane will continue to be high and strong in the future.

According to the monitoring of business society, the trend of domestic rare earth market price index has continued to fall since the second quarter. The price of praseodymium and neodymium series rare earths in China has continued to decline, while the price of heavy rare earths has declined. The domestic rare earth market is no longer prosperous. According to the rare earth plate index of business society, the rare earth index was 490 points on June 7, which was the same as yesterday, down 51.00% compared with the highest 1000 points in the cycle (2011-12-06), Compared with the lowest point of 271 on September 13, 2015, it has increased by 80.81%（ Note: period refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to now).

It can be clearly seen from the rare earth index chart that since April, the domestic rare earth price has continued to decline. Recently, the prices of mainstream commodities in the rare earth market have continued to decline, and the rare earth market is weak and difficult to change. In terms of products:

It can be clearly seen from the product price trend chart that the domestic mainstream products such as neodymium oxide, metal neodymium, praseodymium neodymium oxide, praseodymium neodymium alloy and metal praseodymium have been on the decline. As of June 7, the price of neodymium oxide in domestic rare earths was 489000 yuan / ton, down 22.07% from the beginning of April; The price of neodymium metal was 612500 yuan / ton, down 22.22% from the beginning of April; The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide was 471500 yuan / ton, 19.06% lower than that in early April; The price of PR nd alloy was 590000 yuan / ton, 17.48% lower than that in early April; The price of praseodymium was 645000 yuan / ton, 4.44% lower than that at the beginning of April, and the domestic market trend of light rare earth has dropped.

In the second quarter, the rare earth market continued to decline. According to the feedback of some enterprises, the overall transaction situation was not good, and the downstream permanent magnet manufacturers were not active in purchasing. However, in the early stage, the manufacturers were active in preparing goods, and the inventory in the yard increased, which led to the general low enthusiasm of the downstream replenishment. In this case, the prices of mainstream rare earth products declined. Sales of new energy vehicles have slowed down and the rare earth industry has been affected. The main rare earth raw materials of high performance NdFeB are light rare earth praseodymium neodymium oxide, heavy rare earth dysprosium oxide and terbium oxide, which are used in new energy vehicles, wind power, energy-saving frequency conversion air conditioning, traditional vehicles and other fields. According to statistics, the sales of new energy vehicles are still good. According to the data released by China Automobile Industry Association, in May 2021, the sales volume of the automobile industry is expected to reach 2.224 million units, a month on month decrease of 2.1% and a year-on-year increase of 0.5%; From January to may, the cumulative sales volume of the automobile industry is estimated to be 10.951 million, a year-on-year increase of 37.6%. The downstream purchasing is not active, the psychology of resisting high price is serious, the market price of light rare earth is falling, and the market price of heavy rare earth is falling correspondingly.

From the trend chart, it can be seen that the price trend of dysprosium Series in China has dropped sharply. As of July 7, the price of dysprosium oxide was 2.375 million yuan / ton, down 22.39% from the beginning of April; The price of dysprosium ferroalloy was 2.355 million yuan / ton, down 16.64% since April, and the price of dysprosium metal was 3.225 million yuan / ton, down 17.31% since April; The domestic price of terbium series dropped sharply, with the domestic price of terbium oxide at 6.45 million yuan / ton and that of metal terbium at 8.225 million yuan / ton. There are few transactions in the domestic rare earth market. The upper, middle and lower reaches of the market are mainly on the lookout. Traders tend to buy at a low price, and the market price of heavy rare earth keeps falling. However, Myanmar’s political situation is unstable, and the global supply of rare earth is relatively concentrated. Myanmar is one of the production areas second only to China and the United States. Myanmar has a great influence on the domestic heavy rare earth market products. The import source has decreased significantly. The supply of heavy rare earth in the market is general, but the downstream resistance is more serious, and the market price trend has dropped sharply.

Recently, the “notice on industrial energy conservation supervision in 2021″ stressed that enterprises in key industries such as iron and steel, non-ferrous metal smelting, petrochemical and chemical industry, building materials and so on should be comprehensively investigated, and special supervision on the implementation of mandatory energy consumption quota standards per unit product should be carried out, so as to finally achieve full coverage of energy conservation supervision of enterprises in key industries during the “14th five year plan”. Industry insiders believe that this reflects the strengthening of government control over the rare earth industry, which is conducive to the healthy development of the industry. Since 2021, the market of rare earth products has been objective, but the lower reaches of the business purchase significantly, resulting in the market price continued to decline.

In 2021, the first batch of rare earth mining, smelting and separation total amount control indicators increased significantly, which was related to the strong downstream demand. The Ministry of natural resources issued the total amount control indicators of rare earth mining in 2021. In 2021, the total amount control indicators of the first batch of rare earth mines (rare earth oxide REO, the same below) in China were 84000 tons, including 11490 tons of ionic (mainly medium and heavy rare earth) rare earth mines, The index of rock ore type (light) rare earth ore is 72510 tons. The first batch of tungsten concentrate (tungsten trioxide content 65%, the same below) has a total mining control index of 63000 tons, of which the main mining index is 46890 tons and the comprehensive utilization index is 16110 tons. In 2021, the total amount of rare earth and tungsten mines will continue to be controlled, and the national policy is favorable. However, the demand for rare earth and tungsten mines is poor, the accumulation of reserves is serious, and the trend of some products in the rare earth market will decline sharply.

With the sustainable development of new energy vehicles, wind power and variable frequency air conditioning in the downstream of rare earth, the demand is general, but the domestic rare earth supply starts normally. In addition, the recent on-site transaction is not good, and the purchase is not active. Business analyst Chen Ling predicts that the market price of rare earth in the later period may continue to decline in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business association, on May 28, the average price of salicylic acid (industrial grade) mainstream manufacturers was 14666.67 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the week, up 1.15% on a month on month basis, and the price was the same as that at the same period last year. On June 3, the salicylic acid commodity index was 87.30, flat with yesterday, down 13.22% from the cycle’s highest point of 100.60 (2011-09-19), and up 22.22% from the lowest point of 71.43 on March 29, 2016（ Note: period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now

2、 Market analysis

This week, the market of salicylic acid was stable, and the quotation of enterprises was maintained in the early stage. There was no obvious fluctuation of salicylic acid at all levels, and the market was relatively stable. The market of raw material phenol tends to stabilize, and the starting load of some downstream areas declines slightly due to the power restriction policy, but the impact is not big. The export expectation is weak, and the new orders are generally closed, so the firm offer is open to discussion. As of June 4, the average price of salicylic acid (industrial grade) mainstream manufacturers was 14666.67 yuan / ton. The quotation of industrial grade enterprises was mostly in the range of 13500-15500 yuan / ton, the quotation of pharmaceutical grade enterprises was mostly in the range of 23000-26000 yuan / ton, and the quotation of sublimation grade enterprises was mostly in the range of 17100-20000 yuan / ton.

In terms of raw materials, the domestic phenol market was narrow and the negotiation atmosphere was weak. The overall offer was steadily promoted. However, the terminal gas purchase was not high, and just needed to follow up. The transaction was flat. The business community expected that the domestic phenol market would steadily advance today, and the market negotiation was expected to be 9300-9400 yuan / ton. It is expected that the domestic phenol market will advance steadily.

3、 Future forecast

Salicylic acid analysts of business news agency think: salicylic acid market continues to be stable this week, most enterprises are stable in price, offer has no obvious change, salicylic acid market is expected to continue to advance steadily in the short term.

As of June 4, the average price of domestic industrial grade lithium hydroxide enterprises was 88000 yuan / ton, up 0.76% compared with the price at the beginning of the week, 9.54% compared with the price on May 1, and 58.08% compared with the same period last year, according to the data from the business club’s block list.

In May, the market of lithium hydroxide rose steadily and entered into a firm operation in June

In May, the market of domestic industrial grade lithium hydroxide rose steadily. After the May Day holiday, the price of spodumene at the cost side was tight and high, and the demand side performed well, which led to the rise of the market. The offer of enterprises was firm, the spot supply was tight in the middle and late ten days, and the supply and demand support was strong, so the price of lithium hydroxide rose steadily. In June, from the supply side, the spot supply in the market was tight, the positive support on the demand side continued, and the on-site offer continued to be strong.

According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the recent price of lithium hydroxide of some enterprises is summarized as follows: the external quotation of Shanghai Yulun industrial grade lithium hydroxide is 92000 yuan / ton; Zigong tongfarong industrial grade lithium hydroxide external quotation is 87000 yuan / ton; Shanghai oujin industrial quoted 85000 yuan / ton for industrial grade lithium hydroxide and 88000 yuan / ton for battery grade lithium hydroxide. The spot price of the merchants is in line with the market, and the actual transaction price is mainly through negotiation.

Upstream lithium carbonate, entering June, industrial grade and battery grade lithium carbonate prices have been stable. According to the data monitoring of business news agency, as of June 4, the average price of industrial grade lithium carbonate in East China was 87000 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the month, and increased by 0.46% compared with that on May 1. On June 4, the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate in East China was 90800 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the month, and increased by 0.89% compared with that on May 1.

Business community lithium hydroxide analysts believe that, in general, the current supply and demand side support is strong, and the market favorable supporting factors still exist. It is expected that in the short term, the domestic industrial lithium hydroxide market may be relatively strong, and the specific trend needs to pay more attention to the market information guidance.

In May, the dichloromethane market rose first and then fell, with an overall upward trend. According to the monitoring data of the business community, the price of dichloromethane was 3630 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, then rose to 4263 yuan / ton on May 17, and dropped to 3833 yuan / ton at the end of the month. Overall, the end of the month was 5.60% higher than the beginning of the month.

At the beginning of this month, the overall start-up of methane chloride plant was slightly lower, the spot supply of dichloromethane was tight, and the price went up; In the middle and late ten days, on the one hand, some enterprises started to upgrade their plants, and the new production of Jiangsu Fuqiang methane chloride plant hit the dichloromethane supply side to a certain extent; On the other hand, the downstream slightly resisted the high price of dichloromethane, and the price of dichloromethane rose and fell in the middle and late ten days. However, the overhaul of Jiangsu Liwen plant at the end of the month boosted the supply pressure of dichloromethane to a certain extent, supporting the high price of dichloromethane. According to the business news agency, as of the end of May, more than 90% of Jinling Dongying’s methane chloride plant had been maintained, Jinmao’s methane chloride plant was being shut down, Dongyue started at full capacity, and Luxi started at about 80%. In the middle of the month, the factory price of dichloromethane was lowered and the overall situation remained high and firm after releasing the risk.

On the one hand, film, diluent, foaming agent and other downstream still have a certain rigid demand, which also form a certain support for dichloromethane. However, in the middle and lower reaches, the resistance to high price dichloromethane increased, and the transaction was weak. In the middle and late ten days, the ex factory price of methane chloride manufacturers decreased moderately.

The price of raw materials returned to a high level, and the cost side was strongly supported. In May, the price of liquid chlorine showed a V-shaped trend, with a downward trend in the middle of the month and a rebound at the end of the month. The cost side had a certain drag and support. The overall methanol price is in the trend of rising first and then falling, and the cost side has a certain support. According to the business news agency, the mainstream ex factory price of liquid chlorine for tank cars in Shandong Province dropped from 1750 yuan / ton at the beginning of May to 1150 yuan / ton in the middle of May, and rose to 2050 yuan / ton at the end of the month; The price of methanol increased from 2560 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 2672 yuan / ton at the end of the month, with an overall slight increase of 4.38%.

Business community methane chloride data analysts believe that at present, the domestic dichloromethane market risk release is completed in the early stage, the current cost side, supply and demand side are supported, and it is expected that the price of dichloromethane will be high and firm in the near future.

According to statistics, the price trend of domestic fluorite continued to decline in May. By the end of the month, the average price of domestic fluorite was 2622.22 yuan / ton, 1.46% lower than the price of 2661.11 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, and 1.26% lower than the same period last year.

In May, the price trend of fluorite declined. Recently, the manufacturers reported that the order situation of fluorite was general, the shipping situation of the merchants on the floor was normal, the supply of fluorite on the floor increased, and the price trend of fluorite on the floor dropped. Domestic fluorite manufacturers have been operating stably. The start-up of mines and flotation units in the fluorite yard has increased. The delivery of fluorite in the fluorite yard is general, and the fluorite market price has declined. By the end of May, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder was 2400-2500 yuan / ton in Inner Mongolia, 2500-2600 yuan / ton in Fujian, 2500-2600 yuan / ton in Henan and 2400-2600 yuan / ton in Jiangxi, Recently, the domestic fluorite price has dropped slightly.

The market price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite declined slightly. By the end of the month, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid was 10180 yuan / ton, with a decrease of 3.56% in May. The decline of hydrofluoric acid market price trend had a negative impact on the upstream fluorite market, and the price trend of fluorite declined. In May, the market of domestic refrigerants rose slightly. Recently, the sales situation of the automobile industry is normal. The market of refrigerants has risen slightly. The demand is mainly based on demand. The trend of the refrigerant industry has not changed much. The market of various types of refrigerants has not changed much. However, the manufacturers are under pressure in shipment and sales. In addition, the price of raw material hydrofluoric acid has declined, which has lost some cost support, The output of downstream air conditioning is low, the demand is scarce, and the price of refrigerant changes little. On the whole, negative factors dominate the refrigerant market, and the prices of hydrofluoric acid and chloroform are lower, which makes the refrigerant industry under pressure. At present, the load of refrigerant R22 manufacturers is not high, the inventory is in a reasonable range, the market price trend rises slightly, but the downstream receiving capacity is limited, there is a lot of wait-and-see mood, the shipment situation of the goods holders is normal, and the mainstream of on-site negotiations is 16500-17500 yuan / ton. Domestic R134a manufacturers are operating under low load, and the price trend of R134a rises slightly. However, the current demand procurement is the main, the downstream enterprises are not high, and the traders are in a strong wait-and-see mood. At present, the market quotation of refrigerant R134a is mostly in the range of 21000-24000 yuan / ton, but the transaction atmosphere is general, the downstream refrigerant market rises slightly, the price trend of fluorite is supported, and the price decline of fluorite is small.

On the whole, the market of the downstream refrigerant industry has slightly improved. However, the supply of hydrofluoric acid in the market has increased recently, and the price has a downward trend. In addition, the supply of fluorite has increased. Business analyst Chen Ling believes that the fluorite market price may fall slightly in the short term.

Commodity index: on May 31, the polyaluminum chloride commodity index was 93.15, down 1.81 points from yesterday, down 14.55% from 109.01 points (August 28, 2019), the highest point in the cycle, and up 10.47% from 84.32 points, the lowest point on August 18, 2020（ Note: period refers to from April 1, 2019 to now)

The monitoring found that in May 2021, the market of China’s (industrial grade, content ≥ 28%) solid polyaluminum chloride showed a fluctuating upward trend in the early stage, and then turned around and decreased at the end of the month: the domestic mainstream price was 1720 yuan / ton on the 1st, 1756.67 yuan / ton on the 30th, and decreased to 1723.33 yuan / ton on the 31st. Among them, the main influencing factor is the change of raw material price.

Industrial chain: upstream raw materials, hydrochloric acid: business data show that in May, the trend of hydrochloric acid in North China showed a slight upward trend. On the 1st, the mainstream market quotation was 226.67 yuan / ton. On the 17th, the price of hydrochloric acid mixture in Shandong increased by 6.66 yuan / ton, or 2.94%. After that, the price temporarily stabilized around 223.33 yuan / ton. The market of liquid chlorine in the upper reaches is general, which gives weak support to hydrochloric acid. The market of silica and ammonium chloride in the lower reaches is high, which brings certain benefits to the price of hydrochloric acid. In the early stage, the maintenance of enterprises increased, the supply of hydrochloric acid was tight, the purchasing enthusiasm of downstream was good, and the market price of hydrochloric acid in Shandong increased slightly; In the later period, the quotations of some manufacturers fell slightly. Calcium powder: according to the manufacturers in the main production area, the price of polyaluminum chloride was generally increased this month due to the rising prices of hydrochloric acid and calcium powder.

Secondly, natural gas is used in the production process. During the Spring Festival in February, Shandong’s civil gas market was phased. The trend before and after the festival was different. Before the festival, the market was mainly weak, and after the festival, the market took a short roller coaster. In March, the LPG market changed its downward trend and returned to the upward trend, and the civil gas market in Shandong rose significantly; However, in the middle of March, it began to fall continuously, the rising situation was blocked, and the rebound market did not continue; From the end of March, the LPG market was dominated by favorable factors and entered the upward channel again. In April, the LPG civil market continued to rise, and the price kept rising, especially after the Qingming Festival holiday; However, in late April, the price of liquefied petroleum gas for civilian use showed a “slide” market, and remained stable after a 5-6% drop. In May, the LPG market experienced twists and turns, showing an overall upward trend; According to the data monitoring of the business society, the average price of LPG in Shandong market was 4066.67 yuan / ton on the 5th and 4143.33 yuan / ton on the 31st, with an increase of 156.66 yuan / ton. In fact, the highest price of this month was 4306.67 yuan / ton, and the lowest price was 4133.33 yuan / ton, with a maximum amplitude of 4.02%.

Downstream demand: the downstream demand of polyaluminum chloride still has little change. The “carbon peak” and “carbon neutralization” proposed by the two sessions of this year have stricter and long-term sustainability requirements on the environmental protection of production enterprises in various industries. Chemical enterprises have undergone strict environmental inspection, many industries have stopped production from time to time for rectification, and many enterprises need rectification. There should be a certain demand for environmental protection products in terms of environmental protection. Water treatment products are limited due to their application, Compared with atmospheric emissions, the demand for purification products may be slightly lower. According to a number of enterprises, this year’s demand has been average, strict environmental inspection, repeated production stoppage and rectification, enterprises are under great pressure, and small enterprises may be eliminated. So far this month, the production is normal, the inventory is high, and the demand has not changed effectively.

Future forecast: according to the analysis of the business community, the current demand is general and the inventory is sufficient. The price change of polyaluminum chloride mainly depends on the raw material cost. The raw material manufacturers are tight in supply and the price is relatively firm due to maintenance and other reasons. The price of liquefied gas for production fluctuates and rises. The cost of polyaluminum chloride rises compared with the previous period, and the price may temporarily maintain the current price, Follow up pay close attention to the demand situation and the price change of raw material cost.

Near the end of the month, the overall trend of the three major PE spot varieties was mainly weak. This week, the decline of LDPE in East China was the most prominent. HDPE fell first and then stabilized. LLDPE maintained weak consolidation, and businesses followed the market and offered profits. Here are the details:

According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the average ex factory price of LLDPE (7042) in East China was 8333.33 yuan / ton on May 23 and 8333.33 yuan / ton on May 28. The price was stable in the week, down 0.79% from May 1.

According to the data monitoring of business society, the average ex factory price of LDPE (2426h) in East China was 10250.00 yuan / ton on May 23 and 9825.00 yuan / ton on May 28, with a decrease of 4.15% in the week and 11.29% compared with May 1.

According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the average ex factory price of HDPE (5000S) in East China was 9083.33 yuan / ton on May 23, and 9066.67 yuan / ton on May 28. It fell first and then stabilized within the week, with a decline rate of 0.18%, up 0.55% from May 1.

Near the end of the month, the overall trend of the three PE spot markets is still weak, and the ex factory prices are down. This week, LDPE decreased the most significantly, at 150-400 yuan / ton; HDPE is reduced by 100-300 yuan / ton; The adjustment range of LLDPE varieties is 50-300 yuan / ton. As petrochemical enterprises reduce the ex factory price, the confidence in the market is weak. In terms of demand, the current agricultural film production is in the off-season, the follow-up of linear demand is insufficient, and the transaction atmosphere of the market is general. In addition, power rationing in some regions of South China affects the start-up of downstream enterprises, and there is a low expectation of the demand for raw materials. On the supply side, new production capacity resources have entered the market one after another, and the domestic supply has increased significantly, which has also brought some bad news to the market. Merchants actively ship goods, give a small profit to stimulate downstream market purchasing, and the market lacks good guidance.

The recent decline of Liansu futures is obvious, which brings some bad news to the spot market. On May 28, the opening price of polyethylene futures 2109 was 7760, the highest price was 7875, the lowest price was 7655, and the closing price was 7665. The former settlement price was 7820, the settlement price was 7755, down 155, or 1.98%. The trading volume was 688619, the position was 400234, and the daily increase was 42154（ Quotation unit: yuan / ton)

At present, power rationing in some areas of South China has affected the downstream enterprises to start work, and there is a low expectation of raw material demand. Moreover, agricultural film production is in the traditional off-season, and the market demand has weakened. Domestic PE supply is also under certain pressure. Petrochemical enterprises’ lowering of ex factory prices will affect the market mentality. Businesses will follow the market and the prices will be lowered. The market lacks good guidance. It is expected that the PE spot market will still be weak in the short term.