1、 Price trend
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According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 31st, the reference average price of the domestic urea market was 1812 yuan/ton, which is 0.90% lower than the reference average price of 1829 yuan/ton on July 1st.
2、 Market analysis
Supply and demand situation
This month, the domestic urea market first rose and then fell. In the first half of this month, the domestic urea market prices showed a strong upward trend. Due to the printing price exceeding expectations, the optimistic attitude of the nitrogen fertilizer market has increased, boosting the domestic urea market situation, and urea prices continue to rise. The urea market has seen a rise in trading volume and increased trading volume. In the middle and late of this month, the domestic urea market prices weakened and fell. The market inventory remains high, coupled with the poor trend of the futures market, the urea market is running weakly.
market conditions
As of July 31st, the urea market prices in Shandong are around 1740-1820 yuan/ton, Hebei is around 1750 yuan/ton, Henan is around 1730-1790 yuan/ton, and Liaoning is around 1780 yuan/ton.
According to the weekly K-bar chart from May 5, 2024 to July 21, 2025, it can be seen that the domestic urea cycle is characterized by ups and downs. The maximum increase in domestic urea in July was 1.65% in the week of July 7th, and the maximum decrease was -0.48% in the week of July 14th.
3、 Future forecast
The urea analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the recent weak and downward trend in the urea market is the main reason. At present, the urea market has sufficient supply and demand has not been fully released, coupled with poor futures market conditions. It is expected that the domestic urea market price will weaken and consolidate in the short term.
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