Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, the price of calcium carbide manufactured in Northwest China was temporarily stable this week. The average price quoted by mainstream carbide manufacturers this week was 3033.33 yuan per ton, up 4.16% from the same period last year. Overall, the market of calcium carbide was stable this week, with the carbide commodity index of 79.48 on July 19.

II. Trend Analysis

(1) Products:

This week’s northwest region calcium carbide factory price is temporarily stable: Qinghai Saikant calcium carbide weekend quotation is 2950 yuan/ton, compared with the beginning of the week, the quotation fell by 50 yuan/ton; Orvega can this week calcium carbide quotation is 3100 yuan/ton, the quotation is temporarily stable; Shaanxi coal industry this week calcium carbide quotation is 3000 yuan/ton, the quotation is temporarily stable; Inner Mongolia China Union this week calcium carbide quotation 3050. The quotation is stable for RMB / ton, while the quotation for calcium carbide in Xingping, Ningxia is stable for RMB 2950 / ton this week.

This weekend, the actual transaction price of calcium carbide in Northwest China is about 2900-3000 yuan/ton: the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Shaanxi is about 3000 yuan/ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Qinghai is about 2900 yuan/ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 3000 yuan/ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.

(2) Industrial chain:

Upstream Raw Material Market: The quotation for coke ex-factory this week is tentatively stable, at 1 746.67 yuan/ton, down 12.67% from the same period last year. The upstream raw material price is low and consolidated, which is affected by supply and demand, and has a positive impact on the market of calcium carbide.

Downstream market: PVC ex-factory prices fell slightly this week. The price of PVC fell from 6782.50 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 6732.50 yuan/ton at the end of the week, down 50.00 yuan/ton, or 0.74%, 1.05% from the same period last year. Downstream customers’enthusiasm for calcium carbide purchasing declined, and the demand for calcium carbide was general, which had a negative impact on the market of calcium carbide.

3. Future Market Forecast

After the adjustment in June, the capital reflux of each factory is in good condition, the equipment has been repaired and the production capacity has increased. Low price of raw materials upstream consolidation, has a positive impact on calcium carbide, but the downstream PVC market has a downward trend, customer procurement enthusiasm for calcium carbide has also declined, calcium carbide demand is general. Later market forecast that the price of calcium carbide in the northwest region will fluctuate and fall in late July, but the decline is not significant, and the ex-factory price may be maintained at around 3000 yuan/ton.