1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell slightly this week. This week, the average ex factory price of mainstream carbide manufacturers fell from 2740.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 2730.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, a decrease of 0.36%, 3.28% compared with the same period last year. On the whole, carbide market fell slightly this week, with the carbide commodity index at 71.53 on March 13.

2、 Trend analysis

（1） Products:

The ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell slightly this week: oveganone’s quotation for calcium carbide this weekend was 2720 yuan / ton, down 30 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the week; Shaanxi coal industry’s quotation for calcium carbide this weekend was 2580 yuan / ton, temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; China United Inner Mongolia’s quotation for calcium carbide this week was 2720 yuan / ton, temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Xingping Ningxia’s quotation for calcium carbide this weekend was 2750 yuan / ton , compared with the beginning of the week, the quotation is temporarily stable.

This weekend, the actual transaction price of carbide in Northwest China is about 2500-2700 yuan / ton: the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Shaanxi is about 2500-2700 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Ningxia is about 2700 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 2700 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.

（2） Industrial chain:

Upstream raw material Market: this week, the ex factory quotation of Lancan is temporarily stable, the quotation of small materials is 730.00 yuan / ton, the quotation of medium materials is 820 yuan / ton, and the quotation of large materials is 880 yuan / ton. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low and consolidated, and the cost support is insufficient, which has a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Downstream market: PVC factory price fell slightly this week. PVC price dropped from 6250.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 6237.50 yuan / ton at the end of the week, a decrease of 0.20%, down 2.20% year on year. PVC prices in the lower reaches of this week fell, the market trend is low, and the enthusiasm for calcium carbide procurement is also low. As a whole, PVC market this week has a negative impact on calcium carbide prices.

3、 Future forecast

In the middle of March, the market of calcium carbide fluctuated slightly. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low, the cost support is not enough, the price of PVC in the downstream is low, and the procurement enthusiasm of customers in the downstream is low. The future market forecasts that the price of calcium carbide in the northwest may fall slightly in the middle of March.